The Boston Red Sox have a lot of moves to make this offseason, lacking multiple middle-of-the-order bats and likely gearing up for a star-studded trade involving either Jarren Duran or Wilyer Abreu this winter in an attempt to clarify playing time and balance the lineup.
While there are many moving parts, the top priority for chief baseball officer Craig Breslow is to reach a new agreement with third baseman Alex Bregman -- who would drastically improve the lineup, defense and leadership of the current roster.
That appears to be a daunting task, as many around the league deem Bregman to be the second-best player on the market behind former teammate Kyle Tucker. The reality, however, is that Boston simply needs to offer a contract nearly identical to the one it offered a year ago, with a few more years on the end.
FanGraphs' Ben Clemens projects that Bregman will receive a four-year, $140 million deal -- an average annual value of $35 million. FanGraphs' median crowdsource projects five years, $155 million -- $31 million per season.
Last season, Bregman signed a heavily deferred three-year, $120 million deal. The annual luxury tax penalty was $31.7 million due to present-day values, according to Spotrac -- a quite reasonable figure for the leader of the franchise. With his previous contract off the books, all Breslow has to do is reallocate those funds right back to the 2025 All-Star, tack on some future years and keep the organization's momentum going.
From there, the Red Sox's front office can improve upon last season's roster. That work doesn't truly begin until Bregman is under contract.
